Sunday, March 15, 2009

The Reckoning for My S-Curve Adventures

So here's the comparison of my Top 12 seeds to the committee's. Obviously I got it a little jumbled, but overall I think I did pretty well. Got the composition of the 1 and 2 lines right, correctly picking between UConn and Memphis for the last number 1.  Correctly moved Kansas down to the 3 line.  Shankar pointed out that OU and KU couldn't be 8-9 overall as I had them because they would then be in the same half-bracket (which would violate the rule against having 2 teams from the same conference in the same half-bracket), so maybe my 2-line was more accurate in terms ranking than the final seeding shows. Only thing I whiffed completely on was Syracuse rocketing into a 3 seed, and not even the last 3 seed at that. Wake Forest got a little jobbed, but really it's a very minor quibble. I thought Duke had locked itself right behind Memphis with an ACC tourney title, and I also thought Oklahoma had displayed some troubling signs even after Blake Griffin came back. 

The biggest surprise obviously is how much credit Louisville got for its Big East title run. I thought the losses that had pushed them down in the polls early in the season would linger more for the committee. That said, I have been saying that Louisville is playing the best ball in the country right now.  Anyway, judge me below. 




 

Overall Seed

Actual Seed

My Pick

1 Seeds

1

Louisville

North Carolina

 

2

Pitt

Louisville

 

3

North Carolina

Pitt

 

4

UConn

UConn

 

 

 

 

2 Seeds

5

Memphis

Memphis

 

6

Oklahoma

Duke

 

7

Duke

Michigan State

 

8

Michigan State

Oklahoma

 

 

 

 

3 Seeds

9

Kansas

Kansas

 

10

Villanova

Missouri

 

11

Syracuse

Villanova

 

12

Missouri

Wake Forest

 

 

 

 

4 Seeds

13

Washington

 

 

14

Gonzaga

 

 

15

Xavier

 

 

16

Wake Forest

 







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